Showing posts with label Predictions. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Predictions. Show all posts

October 7, 2009

Sevilla stun Madrid; Atleti wins…finally

The Vicente Calderon filled against last Saturday night as Atletico de Madrid once again looked for their first victory of the season. After Jurado put the Rojoblancos up a goal early on the second minute, a reckless play by third string keeper David De Gea led to an ominous penalty. While still within the first half an hour of the match, the body language of supporters was clear, it was going to be another long night in Madrid; however a poorly taken shot combined with a correct guess from the Spanish keeper pushed the equalizer away. Antonio Lopez would double the home sides advantage from a set piece and even though a Tomas Ujfalusi foul would lead to another penalty, this time converted, Atleti was able to hold on for their first victory of the season.

Elsewhere, Valencia earned a very costly victory with David Villa leaving the game with what appeared to be a muscle tear. Coming amidst bankruptcy problems and David Silva transfer rumors, this was not the news Los Ches needed with league leaders Barcelona up next in two weeks. Said Catalonian club edged out Almeria this past Saturday (via a brilliant goal from Pedrito), the three points enough to establish themselves alone at the top of the table. The only team that remains perfect in league play to this point (and still undefeated in all competitions).

The big story of the weekend, as well as one of the best games of the season thus far, was played in the Andalucian capital of Sevilla Sunday night. The local side was hosting the newly assembled Blancos from Real Madrid with the game being labeled the first real test for the “New Galacticos.” Sevilla had been perfect since an opening weekend loss to Valencia in both the Champions League and Spain while Real was traveling with out their new star, Cristiano Ronaldo, who was nursing an injured ankle suffered this past Wednesday. Excuses were not made after the match, the Chilean manager acknowledging that the home side outplayed his boys, deserving all three of the points they earned. Spreading the Madrid defense wide, dominating the wings all while consistently threading dangerous balls into the area, Sevilla picked apart Real Madrid. The Sevillian wingers made boys out of Ramos and Marcelo. The backline stood flatfooted, statues watching the Sevillian goals unfold in front of them. Madrid was tested and failed while Sevilla made a very loud statement throughout Spain and Europe: there are more than two teams in the Iberian country that can compete on the highest level.

Consequently, this game was not just a victory for the Rojoblancos from Sevilla but for the rest of the Spanish league. While critics will be quick to dismiss La Liga as boring, a two horse race, but, as the game Sunday night reemphasized, there are other quality clubs capable of hoisting hardware throughout the continent in Spain. Yes, it may take a valiant effort to dethrone treble winning Barcelona but if the Sevilla that came to play Sunday night at the Sanchez Pizjuan stays consistent then trophies are not out of the question. Trite as it may be to say, it is true: on any given day, anyone can be defeat.

As for the rest of the league, Villarreal still remains winless. Less than two years removed from their exceptional second place league finish, the yellow submarine find themselves in the red on only three points through six fixtures after a nil-nil home draw against Espanyol. Deportivo continued their impressive start to the 09-10 campaign with an away victory that leaves them fourth in the table on twelve points. Mallorca was cooled off while Xerez recorded their first ever goal in the top flight in a 1-1 draw.

As for the prediction standings thus far….

Standings Through Six Rounds
EPM (.517): 31- 29 (7)
FFT (.500): 30 - 30
LLTO (.468): 22 – 25 (2)

*LLTO does not to pick some games which is why their total number of predictions is lower…the final number (in parenthesis) indicates the number of games with the exact score picked correctly to serve as a tie breaker.

September 30, 2009

Barca, Madrid Look Human; Sevilla not far behind

Through the first five games of the young Spanish league season, Real Madrid and FC Barcelona have quieted critics and find themselves tied, on a perfect 15 points apiece, at the top of the table. With that being said, Sevilla, who have rebounded from their first week loss, have won their last four and will play host to the aforementioned Madrid this Sunday. The biggest test of the year for Los Blancos while a chance for us to see if Sevilla can establish themselves as league contenders.

Two teams many considered serious contenders are still without wins five games into the season. Atletico de Madrid has struggled defensively, conceding away their first victory of the season in stoppage time at home against Almeria midweek.; however, in a similar fashion, Maxi finished home a sloppy Valenica clearance two minutes from time to salvage a point at the Mestilla on Saturday. Valencia on the other hand has given away four points in the last five minutes of their last two games, mistakes that are unacceptable for a talented team with desires to compete for a top European spot next season. Athletic Club Bilbao has come down to earth, losing their last two after an impressive start with victories in their first three games. Xerez picked up their first ever point in the Spanish top flight after an impressive nil-nil draw at Espanyol. Malaga has lost four straight after an impressive opening day win against the aforementioned struggling Atletico while Mallorca continue to play nearly flawless football. Asides from a couple weakly conceded goals mid-week against Sevilla (a game in which they really held their own on the road), Mallorca has been impressive thus far.

This upcoming weekend will bring us many intriguing matches right before a two-week break as players report for international duty. The aforementioned Sevilla vs. Real Madrid will surely be the game to watch, and I am going to say that Madrid’s lackadaisical form in the back will finally prove deadly as they are upset in the Andalucian capital. I know it may sound like an echo at this point but I have both Aletico and Villarreal recording their first wins of the season. Elsewhere, look for Mallorca and Deportivo to continue on form while Xerez will follow-up their first La Liga points from last week with their first La Liga victory this Sunday.

Tenerife 1 – Deportivo 3
Atletico de Madird 2 – Real Zaragoza 0
Barcelona 3 – Almeria 0
Getafe 2 – Osasuna 1
Valladolid 1 – Athletic Bilbao 1
Villarreal 2 – Espanyol 1
Racing Santander 0 – Valencia 1
Xerez 1 – Malaga 0
Sevilla 2 – Real Madrid 1
Sporting Gijon 2 – Mallorca 3


As for the prediction standings… El Partido Maravilloso took a beating the last week while Tim Stannard from Four Four Two’s La Liga Loca blog had a phenomenal set of predictions. La Liga Tickets Online neglected to put up predictions for the midweek games so their picks for the weekend’s matches were just doubled. The number in the parenthesis is, of course, number of game scores picked exactly right to serve as an end of the season tiebreaker.

1. FFT 28 – 22
2. EPM 24 – 26 (4*)
3. LLTO: 24 – 26 (2*)

September 24, 2009

Jornada 5 Predictions

With the quick turn around from the midweek fixtures, I will present only my predictions for this upcoming weekend of play with full analysis of the last two sets of games coming Sunday. And yes, I still am pulling for Atleti in the upset, regardless of them letting me down the last 4 weeks.

Athletic Bilbao 1 - Sevilla 1
Malaga 0 - Barcelona 3
Real Madrid 4 - Tenerife 1
Valencia 2 - Atletico Madrid 3
Mallorca 1 - Valladolid 0
Espanyol 2 - Xerez 1
Almeria 1 - Racing Santander 0
Zaragoza 0 - Getafe 0
Osasuna 2 - Sporting Gijon 1
Deportivo 1 - Villarreal 3

September 21, 2009

Three Clubs Remain Perfect (Barcelona, Real & Athletic Club Bilbao???): Week Three in Review & Jornada 4 Preview

While a seventy-four minute gap between Ronaldo goals allowed Xerez to ponder the notion of stealing a point from the home side, a six-minute period that saw Real Madrid quadruple their lead put an end to any fairytales at the Bernabeu. Atletico de Madrid continued their disappointing season, getting embarrassed at the Camp Nou. After a slow start and on only two points, Atleti needed a strong showing against the Catalan club to reestablish themselves as a title contender. Athletic Club Bilbao continued their perfect start to the season by defeating Villarreal. The “yellow submarine” have been another top flight club yet to notch their first victory of this early season. A late equalizer at the Mestilla put Sporting Gijon on terms with Valencia while Mallorca looked strong at home against La Liga newcomer Tenerife.

As for the prediction standings after three weeks:

1. El Partido Maravilloso: 16-14 (4*)
2. La Liga Tickets Online: 16-14 (2*)
3. Four Four Two: 16-14**

*tie breaker is scores picked correctly throughout the season
**if you don’t pick the scores, then you can’t earn the points

A set of midweek games keeps the players of La Liga busy this week. The big match-up coming when perfect Real and Manuel Pellegrini visit El Madrigal. Pellegrini, who coached Villarreal for four seasons including a second place league finish, will lead Los Blancos against his former club. Villarreal, who are a perennial contender for the four Champions League spots, have stuttered out of the gate this campaign. Emotions will be high as Villarreal look to take revenge on their former manager while earning their first league win in the process.

Week 4 Predictions:
Sevilla 1 – Mallorca 0
Racing Santander 2 – Barcelona 2
Espanyol 2 – Malaga 0
Villarreal 0 – Real Madrid 1
Atletico Madrid 3 – Almeria 1
Tenerife 0 – Athletic Club Bilbao 3
Xerez 1 – Deportivo 2
Valladolid 1 – Osasuna 1
Getafe 1 – Valencia 2
Sporting Gijon 1 – Zaragoza 0

September 19, 2009

Week Three: Finally a Local Perspective


Prior to the start of week three, this author had been writing from the comfort of the New York City suburbs, far removed from the European game; however, now, after a move to Madrid, I find myself at the epicenter of Spanish football. With the new location should come a new improved level of stories, gossip and opinions of the game from both the local media and local supporters.
It is difficult to label a game a must win three matches into a thirty-eight match season; however, Atletico de Madrid find themselves in said scenario. On only one point through two games, a visit to Camp Nou tonight could potentially be the first defining cornerstone of this lengthy season. A loss at Barcelona would leave them eight points off the top early in the season, while a victory could reestablish the rojoblancos as the contender many, this blogger included, thought they would be. Madrid should stay on form with rookie club Xerez at the Bernabeu. Villarreal will earn their first win, on the road at San Mames, as will Espanyol against Deportivo.

As for Week Three Predictions:
Deportivo 0- Espanyol 1
Real Madrid 4- Xerez 0
Malaga 0- Racing Santander 0
Athletic Bilbao 1- Villarreal 2
Almeria 0- Getafe 1
Valencia 3- Sporting Gijon 1
Osasuna 0- Sevilla 2
Mallorca 1- Tenerife 1
Barcelona 2- Atletico Madrid 1
Real Zaragoza 2- Valladolid 3

Week Two Roundup


They are known as the big four in England, the only teams (asides from a slip-up in 1995 when Blackburn was crowned champion) to have won the Premier League (mind you it started under that name in 1992). Arsenal, Manchester United, Chelsea and Liverpool, are, perennially, the top four in England and thus always win qualification for the following year’s Champions League. While Spain’s league may not follow such a predictable trend, Barcelona and Real Madrid have often been widely considered in a league of their own. Valencia, however, has the talent to raise them above the rest of the Spanish competition and into said category. Bankruptcy issues still remain and do pose a threat to the stability of the organization but the former back-to-back Champions League finalists now seem ready to solidify themselves as a perinea member of the Spanish elite. While the season is still very young (and I am still not ruling out my pick to finish second, Atletico) Valencia has come out of the gates on fire.
Home to a striker that has become know as the one that got away from the “big clubs” and a very young talented midfield, supporters at the Mestilla should be in for an exciting, competitive season. As for the “big two,” both won comfortably on the road this past week. Sevilla, after a week one defeat to Valencia, recorded their first win while Villarreal and Atletico, two teams considered competitors for Europe, disappointingly drew at home. Deportivo remained on form after a well-fought loss in week one at Real Madrid to win at home against Malaga. With still plenty of football to be played, teams wanting to compete for a chance at the league title will need to quickly pick up their play before Barcelona and Madrid separate themselves permanently.

After Week Two the prediction standings look like this….

1. FFT: 12-8
2. EPM: 11-9 (3*)
3. LLTO: 11-9 (2*)

*El Partido Maravilloso is in second because of picking 3 scores perfectly versus the 2 from LaLigaTicketsOnline.com

September 10, 2009

A Look Ahead to Week Two

After a brief break in the action, La Liga resumes Saturday with a few intriguing fixtures. Getafe will look for a statement win versus FC Barcelona if they care to establish themselves as a contender for the top 6 after an impressive win on the road at Racing Santander. The aforementioned Racing will travel to Madrid to face Atletico, who try to rebound after an embarrassing loss on the road at Malaga. Villarreal and Sevilla, two teams who will without question be competing for the top four come May, will both look to record their first wins of this young season on home turf. The city of Barcelona will play host to this weeks most fascinating contest, however, where Espanyol will play host to Real Madrid. Have Madrid hammered out their lapses from the week before? How will the emotions from Espanyol, in their first league match since the untimely death of captain Jarque, affect the crowd and the team? I foresee an early lead for the Catalonian club but Madrid's power will, inevitably, earn Los Blancos a valuable away point.

Week 2 predictions:

Getafe 0- Barcleona 2
Atletico Madrid 2- Racing Santander 0

Espanyol 1- Real Madrid 1

Sevilla FC 2- Real Zaragoza 0

Villarreal 3- Mallorca 0

Sporting Gijon 0- Almeria 1

Deportivo La Coruna 2- Malaga 1

Tenerife 0- Osasuna 0

Valladolid 1- Valencia 3

Xerez 0- Athletic Bilbao- 1

August 29, 2009

Week 1 Predictions

Real Madrid 3- Deportivo La Coruña 0
Real Zaragoza 2- Tenerife 1
Mallorca 2- Xerez 0
Málaga 0- Atlético Madrid 1
Osasuna 1- Villarreal 3
Racing Santander 0- Getafe 0
Athletic Bilbao 0- Espanyol 1
Valencia 3- Sevilla 2
Almeria 1- Valladolid 1
Barcelona 2- Sporting Gijon 0

La Liga Season Forecast


With the heavily anticipated start to the Spanish first division’s season around the corner, it is time for some incredibly premature predictions. Barcelona will look to retain a few titles as they come off their incredible run of winning the triple last season (La Liga, Champions, Copa del Rey); however, the heavily equipped squad of Real Madrid will be quite poised to intervene in any repeat plans. But I do not believe it will be the two-teamed race that many are predicting. Sevilla’s signing of Negredo adds a goal scorer to a team in need, while Valencia (amidst bankruptcy issues), Villarreal (attempting to repeat their successful second place finish during the 07-08 campaign), and Atletico de Madrid will all be competitive with the two Spanish powerhouses.
When the dust settles, who will be left standing at the top and who will be doomed for a season in the segunda? Real Madrid, whose summer spending spree made them not only quick favorites for La Liga but for Europe as well, will be sitting at the top of the table. Xabi Alonso (not Kaka, not Ronaldo) will prove to be the most important piece from this summer’s transfers. While there is more than one issue at Anfield right now, it is very clear early on that the loss of Alonso has greatly hurt Liverpool. Sevilla only scored fifty-four times last season while the rest of the top four in Spain scored at least eighty times, which is of concern for the Andalusian club. Can their offense keep them in contention for a title run? A Real Madrid, FC Barcelona one-two finish seems to be the popular public consensus after Barca’s season and Madrid’s summer spending; however, I envision a different scenario. And yes, there is some logic behind said verdict. Atletico Madrid, who have finished fourth the past two seasons, have one of the best young strikers, an Argentine who was the envy of many premier league clubs, in Kun Aguero. Barcelona did score an unconscious amount of goals (103) last season, but Eto’o was a crucial part of that and Ibrahimovic has yet to prove he can show up in big games. Therefore, it will be Atletico Madrid in the second position followed by Barcelona. Finishing fourth, I have Valenica making a return to the top four and the top flight of European football. Rounding out the top six and the final European spots will be Villareal and Espanyol (as the surprise of the year). Sevilla’s scoring issues from last season as well as more games against top European competition in the Champions league will pave the way for the Catalan club’s chance at a place in the Europa League (after last years flirt with relegation).
Sporting Gijon, whose -32 goal differential was the worst in La Liga last season, will be the only veteran club relegated while Xerez and Tenerife will have short tenure’s in the top flight of Spanish football.